Monday, August 19, 2013

Microvision Tracker - Q2 Conference Call

Microvision over the past year significantly reduced cash used in operations and has $6 million in cash as of June 30th along with a $3.8 million backlog.  Tokman highlights that everything is going as planned with the un-named OEM and their partnership goal is not just to release one device but possibly many different devices that utilized PicoP. It was great to hear a ton of questions from investors and analysts. In previous conference calls, I recall little to no questions, which probably had a significant amount of people worried if anybody was even interested in Microvision anymore.

The most interesting news that came out of the conference call was Microvision’s partnership with Pioneer. Microvision’s best fan, Karl Guttag, jumped all over Tokman statement about their component commitment has “completed successfully”.  I’m not sure what the long term plan is from Pioneer regarding their HUD, but the latest model of the Cyber Navi was just released earlier this spring. A week after Karl’s article, Microvision posted on their blog that they are still in partnership with Pioneer and the next focus will be embedded HUD.  I personally was never a fan of Pioneer aftermarket HUD that cost a few thousand dollars plus installation. It was a very interesting product but I don’t see it breaking into the mainstream. Most vehicle owners would prefer factory installed products and I don’t see many in the aftermarket community who are ready to spend thousands of dollars on a navigation system. But this could be Pioneer’s, similar to Microvision ShowWX, product to showcase the future of HUD to car manufactures.  In the past, if your car had a cd player, power windows, power door locks, a spoiler and rims, you were driving a top of the line vehicle with all the options. Now days all of those options are pretty much standard. So car manufactures have moved on to providing navigation, back up cameras, self parking etc.  To this date, I personally haven’t seen a car with a decent HUD and that’s why I believe Pioneer’s HUD device is just a product to showcase to the manufactures on what a fully developed HUD system looks like. The goal isn’t aftermarket, Pioneer’s and Microvision’s ultimate goal is to create an embedded HUD that integrates with a vehicle’s navigation and communication system. The product would then be factory standard or sold as an option when a customer purchases the vehicle. 

So further reading into Guttag’s article regarding Microvision, he stated that Tokman made a big deal when he mentioned Disney’s R&D demonstration. I didn’t feel as if Tokman was bragging about Disney’s product, he was just highlighting that there are several companies out there that are developing different products utilizing PicoP, but at the end of the day it’s up to these companies to communicate their products when they feel necessary.  Microvision has given sample kits to 50+ customers who have the R&D facilities capable to develop new products. I bet if Microvision released the list of companies that have received a kit, the market would be in frenzy due to rumors of all the potential partnerships. However, Microvision has learned their lesson from their past and is focused on doing their homework and signing committed partners. I bet Apple requested a PicoP sample kit, they were probably very excited when they first evaluated it. But at the end of the day, Apple wasn’t anywhere near close to signing a deal with Microvision and by Tokman throwing out Apples name during every conference call did more harm than good. I believe Apple is still interested in Microvision’s but they are waiting until the technology has matured and they have done all of their research.

Tokman during the conference call did share some very positive statements going forward. Microvision PicoP technology is far ahead of the competition. I haven’t seen any pico technology that matches Microvision PicoP specs. The current PicoP engine is capable of 720p, multi-hour use, nearly 50 lumens and is focus free.  DVD Players use red lasers, Blu-Ray uses blue lasers, but there a virtually no devices besides pico projectors that use green lasers. So as Tokman stated, why would several manufactures enter this market if didn’t already know that laser based pico projectors will become a huge market. Every study that has looked at the pico projection market has concluded that there will significant growth over the next 10 years and that laser projection engines will be the technology of choice.